Cautious outlook for 2025-26 cropping season as dry start slows crop emergence

In South Australia, the latest Crop and Pasture Report captures the challenging start to the 2025–26 cropping season across the state, with delayed sowing, wind damage, and slow emergence following a late seasonal break but forecast wet conditions in August to October bring some optimism.

Grain production for the season is currently estimated at 7.6 million tonnes, which if realised would be 14 per cent below the five-year average. However, as an early estimate, it will rely on favourable conditions for the rest of the season.

The report highlights the delicate balance producers are managing between cautious input investment and the uncertainty of seasonal conditions.

The report notes that dust storms have caused wind damage in parts of the Lower Murray, Mid and Upper North, Eyre Peninsula, and the Murray Mallee —necessitating some resowing efforts to stabilise paddocks. Pasture growth has also been limited, with livestock producers relying on containment and supplementary feeding due to continued poor cover.

Rainfall in June was close to average in most districts, but soil moisture remains below average in many cropping areas. However, the Bureau of Meteorology has forecast an increased likelihood of above-average rainfall over the next three months in southern South Australia, giving some cause for cautious optimism.

The Department of Primary Industries and Regions (PIRSA) will continue to monitor conditions closely and support producers through ongoing seasonal challenges.

The South Australian Government’s $73 million Drought Support Package is available to assist primary industries and associated businesses impacted by drought. Information is available at pir.sa.gov.au/drought-support

The full 2025–26 Crop Emergence report is available now at pir.sa.gov.au/crop-report.